Home World Trump's foreign policy: deals with allies over diplomacy with rivals

Trump’s foreign policy: deals with allies over diplomacy with rivals

President Trump and Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman walk in the old district on the outskirts of the Saudi capital Riyadh on May 13. Trump announced several big economic agreements on his recent trip to the Middle East, but said little about the conflicts in the region.

President Trump and Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman walk in the old district on the outskirts of the Saudi capital Riyadh on May 13. Trump announced several big economic agreements on his recent trip to the Middle East, but said little about the conflicts in the region. Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images hide caption

toggle caption

Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images

President Trump has been threatening to abandon peace efforts in the Russia-Ukraine war. And he isn’t saying much about the Israel-Hamas fighting either.

Yet Trump is quick to tout international economic agreements. On his recent Middle East trip, the president touted business deals and investments with the wealthy states of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates and said the region is now being defined by “commerce, not chaos.”

“Where it exports technology, not terrorism. And where people of different nations, religions and creeds are building cities together, not bombing each other out of existence. We don’t want that,” Trump said.

In short, Trump shows a clear preference for the art of the deal over the art of diplomacy.

“Business deals are Trump’s comfort zone,” said Stephen Walt, a professor of international affairs at Harvard. “It certainly fits his self-image that he’s a master dealmaker and master negotiator.”

But Walt and other the foreign policy analysts stress an important point: you make deals with allies who have similar interests. You do diplomacy with rivals who have opposing interests.

Sponsor Message

“Where Trump is much less successful, much less comfortable, is when there’s a genuine conflict of interest,” said Walt. “When you’re trying to produce a lasting ceasefire in Gaza, when you’re trying to come up with an actual end to the war in Ukraine.”

Trump rarely, if ever, addresses the soaring civilian death toll and the humanitarian crisis among Palestinians in Gaza. When he does mention the territory, he usually talks about the possibility of the U.S. taking control and building luxury beachfront properties.

Palestinians receive food in Gaza in southern Gaza on May 27. Thousands of Palestinians rushed to a new aid distribution center in the territory, which is suffering from severe shortages of food and medicine.

Palestinians receive food in Gaza in southern Gaza on May 27. Thousands of Palestinians rushed to a new aid distribution center in the territory, which is suffering from severe shortages of food and medicine. AFP/via Getty Images hide caption

toggle caption

AFP/via Getty Images

Skeptical of U.S. overreach

Steven Cook, at the Council on Foreign Relations, said successive U.S. presidents, Democratic and Republican, have tried to re-fashion the Middle East as a more peaceful, democratic region — and largely failed. Trump shows no interest in such lofty goals.

“The president essentially dispensed with the kind of overambition that has marked American foreign policy in the Middle East,” said Cook. Trump’s message is, “We are not interested in remaking societies. We are not promoting democracy.”

Trump’s agenda is limited and transactional. But Cook thinks this is more realistic and will likely keep the U.S. out of major entanglements. He sums up Trump’s approach this way: “These societies can develop and pursue their politics as they see fit without the intervention of the United States, which has been destabilizing over the course of the last 30 years.”

Sponsor Message

Cook does have concerns. The Mideast remains volatile. Trump is relying heavily on one envoy, Steve Witkoff, his friend from their days in New York real estate.

Witkoff had no diplomatic experience before joining the Trump administration this year. Now he’s handling nuclear negotiations with Iran, ceasefire efforts in the Gaza war and, for good measure, the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Cook says Trump is overestimating what Witkoff can deliver.

Trump is “miscalculating when he thinks that a deal’s a deal, whether it’s about a luxury hotel or it’s about Iran’s nuclear program or it’s about a hostage deal and ceasefire, that these are all the same,” said Cook. “They’re going to run into problems because the president wants to go with his gut.”

So far, the exception to Trump’s general approach to the region is Iran, where Witkoff is trying to work out an agreement on Iran’s nuclear program. In his first term, Trump pulled out of a deal reached by President Obama. Trump says he can negotiate a much better arrangement, though he’s also threatening military action if there’s no deal.

A Ukrainian boy looks at destroyed cars parked outside a mall following Russian drone attacks on Kyiv on May 4. Russia has recently ramped up airstrikes on Ukraine. President Trump has expressed increasing frustration with Russia, but has not taken any action to apply more pressure on Russia.

A Ukrainian boy looks at destroyed cars parked outside a mall following Russian drone attacks on Kyiv on May 4. Russia has recently ramped up airstrikes on Ukraine. President Trump has expressed increasing frustration with Russia, but has not taken any action to apply more pressure on Russia. SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP via Getty Images hide caption

toggle caption

SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP via Getty Images

Deals with Ukraine and Russia

In the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Trump also emphasizes dealmaking. He pressed for a minerals agreement with Ukraine — and it was recently signed.

Geoffrey Pyatt, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, supports the agreement. He notes he worked on a similar effort when he was the ambassador in Kyiv from 2013 to 2016. But one business deal won’t end a war with a long, complicated history.

“This war has its origin in the agenda of one man, Vladimir Putin, and his sacrifice of hundreds of thousands of Russian soldiers who died in pursuit of his territorial ambitions,” Pyatt said.

Pyatt retired in January after 35 years at the State Department. He fears the U.S. is short-changing its own diplomatic clout, particularly with Russia.

European leaders are talking about ramping up sanctions on Russia, while Trump has been speculating about future trade deals with Moscow after the war ends.

Sponsor Message

“European leaders have clearly signaled that as long as Putin continues to ignore calls for a ceasefire they are prepared to raise the cost,” Pyatt said. “The Trump administration does not appear willing to do the same, at least up until now.”

Trump has been increasingly critical of Putin in the wake of heavy Russian airstrikes on Ukraine.

“We’re going to find out whether or not he’s tapping us along or not, and if he is, we’ll respond a little bit differently,” Trump said Wednesday, adding that he wanted a clear answer from Putin within the next two weeks.

The U.S. president has threatened more sanctions against Russia, but has not yet taken any action. Trump has also said repeatedly that if Russia and Ukraine don’t reach a ceasefire, he’s prepared to walk away from a conflict he once promised to resolve in a day.

Stephen Walt says Trump should be skeptical of U.S. adventures abroad. But there’s also risk in the U.S. abandoning hot spots where it could play an influential role.

“I fear that on all of these places where there’s a serious conflict of interests, something that’s hard to resolve, the United States is likely to be absent without leave,” said Walt.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

Must Read

Trump says ‘We want to be very good to Canada,’ as its leader drops some tariffs

Prime Minister Mark Carney speaks during a news conference at the National Press Theatre in Ottawa on Friday. Spencer Colby/The Canadian Press via AP hide caption toggle caption Spencer Colby/The Canadian Press via AP TORONTO — Canada is dropping many of its retaliatory tariffs to match U.S. tariff exemptions for goods covered under the United

U.N.-backed panel confirms famine in Gaza. And, DOJ to send Congress some Epstein docs

Good morning. You're reading the Up First newsletter. Subscribe here to get it delivered to your inbox, and listen to the Up First podcast for all the news you need to start your day. Today's top stories A U.N.-backed panel of experts on starvation has declared that Gaza is in the grip of famine. The announcement comes after nearly

Famine confirmed in northern Gaza, says U.N.-backed panel

Palestinians, including children, who are struggling to access food due to Israel's blockade and ongoing attacks on the Gaza Strip, wait in line to receive food. Moiz Salhi/Anadolu/Getty Images hide caption toggle caption Moiz Salhi/Anadolu/Getty Images The world's leading authority on food insecurity has confirmed a famine in Gaza. In a report published Friday, the

Thai court acquits ex-Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra of royal defamation charge

Former Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra arrives at Criminal Court for a verdict for allegedly defaming the monarchy in Bangkok on Friday, Aug. 22, 2025. Arnun Chonmahatrakool/AP/AP hide caption toggle caption Arnun Chonmahatrakool/AP/AP BANGKOK — Thailand's former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra was acquitted of a royal defamation charge by a court on Friday, in a

Protester Arrests in the UK; Garden Surprises in Mexico City

Demonstrators pass a line of police during a protest by Palestine Action group in London, Monday, June 23, 2025. Frank Augstein/AP hide caption toggle caption Frank Augstein/AP After banning a pro-Palestinian protest group and labeling members terrorists, the UK has been arresting hundreds of protesters at weekly rallies, mostly elderly people. Critics say it endangers